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Start-ups in Asia

China, India, Southeast Asia and other Asian ecosystems.

Photo: Sarmat Batagov / Unsplash

Questions the analysis answers

The assets on the radar in this domain

3 assets scored on the same 14 conditions: 0 with 10+ conditions met, 2 on watch (6–9) and 1 under 6. The scores are those of the frozen snapshot of 29 October 2026 (JSON file with a SHA-256 fingerprint). 1 have a weekly public price in our database.

AssetCategoryConditionsScoreSubstance / formLast priceBefore the snapshotSince the snapshotPrice source
ByteDancePre-IPO
China
9/147.14Substance without formNo public price: not listed (private market)
CATL (3750.HK)Recently listed
China
7/147.1Substance without form338.8 HKD
2026-10-30
-41.0%from 2026-11-06Yahoo Finance · 3750.HK
SheinRecently listed
Singapore
3/145.42Substance being confirmedNo public price: no public source

Each asset, condition by condition

Open an asset to see the score on each condition, explained in plain words, and what it means in short.

ByteDance · Pre-IPO · 9/14 · Substance without form

Cheap relative to revenue, but high geopolitical and governance risk (TikTok US).

#ConditionScoreIn plain words
C1Actually used10Genuinely used: real users or revenue, not just promises.
C2Launch from strength6The launch timing says nothing special, good or bad.
C3Healthy funding9Healthy funding: no investors able to flood the market.
C4Attracts skilled people9Skilled people and partners move toward it: value recognised from the inside.
C5Real customers8Customers come naturally and pay, not only for rewards.
C6Credible team7Credible team: has delivered and has no scandals.
C7Well-distributed supply4Many shares or tokens may soon hit the market and dilute holders.
C8Organic community8Organic community: people came for the product.
C9Obvious problem7Obvious problem: explained in one sentence, and people feel it.
C10Good entry price8Good entry price: cheap versus rivals, its peak or what it produces.
C11Balanced media4The press is euphoric: historically, euphoria often marked the top.
C12Healthy price and volume8Healthy price behaviour: stable or rising, backed by volume.
C13Few on the same bet5Some investors are positioned, but it is not crowded.
C14Low risks4High risks: lawsuits, scandals, regulation or geopolitics.
CATL (3750.HK) · Recently listed · 7/14 · Substance without form

Peak HK$794.5 (Jun 2026) → -57% in ~4 months; -10% in one day on tax changes. Geopolitical risk.

#ConditionScoreIn plain words
C1Actually used9Genuinely used: real users or revenue, not just promises.
C2Launch from strength7Did not rush: launched (or delays launching) from strength, not out of need for money.
C3Healthy funding8Healthy funding: no investors able to flood the market.
C4Attracts skilled people8Skilled people and partners move toward it: value recognised from the inside.
C5Real customers8Customers come naturally and pay, not only for rewards.
C6Credible team8Credible team: has delivered and has no scandals.
C7Well-distributed supply6Balanced supply, with some unlocks or issuance to watch.
C8Organic community6A real community, mixed with speculators.
C9Obvious problem9Obvious problem: explained in one sentence, and people feel it.
C10Good entry price6Fair price, with no clear discount.
C11Balanced media5Moderate press attention.
C12Healthy price and volume4The price is falling or erratic, without support.
C13Few on the same bet6Some investors are positioned, but it is not crowded.
C14Low risks6A few risks to watch, nothing serious.
Shein · Recently listed · 3/14 · Substance being confirmed

2022 valuation: $100B. Failed listing attempts in the US and London; labour and tariff controversies.

#ConditionScoreIn plain words
C1Actually used8Genuinely used: real users or revenue, not just promises.
C2Launch from strength3Rushed to market or listing, usually when enthusiasm peaked.
C3Healthy funding6Reasonable funding, with some risk of large sales.
C4Attracts skilled people5Attracts talent and partners at a normal pace.
C5Real customers6Customers are real, but part of the activity is artificially boosted.
C6Credible team5Credible team, but without a long track record.
C7Well-distributed supply5Balanced supply, with some unlocks or issuance to watch.
C8Organic community6A real community, mixed with speculators.
C9Obvious problem6The problem is real, but not very pressing.
C10Good entry price7Good entry price: cheap versus rivals, its peak or what it produces.
C11Balanced media3The press is euphoric: historically, euphoria often marked the top.
C12Healthy price and volume3The price is falling or erratic, without support.
C13Few on the same bet7Few on the same bet: still room for new buyers.
C14Low risks3High risks: lawsuits, scandals, regulation or geopolitics.

Weekly prices (the database)

Every Friday, an automated GitHub routine downloads the closes from public sources and adds them here. Points older than a week are no longer changed, and every update stays in the project’s public history. Last update: 5 November 2026.

Weekly prices of the assets on the radar vs. S&P 500 (index, first week = 100). Source: Radar weekly database (CoinGecko and Yahoo Finance closes), retrieved on 2026-11-05. Each series is rebased to 100 on the first Friday, so assets with very different prices can be compared. The raw prices are in the table and in the source file.

Backtest: what happened before the snapshot

Read with care: the scores were given on 29 October 2026, after this period. The chart shows the context in which the scores were given, not the radar’s performance. Real performance is measured only from the snapshot onwards (next section).

Median change in the 8 weeks before the snapshot, by zone (%). Source: Radar weekly database (CoinGecko and Yahoo Finance closes), retrieved on 2026-11-05. Computed automatically from the database: 4 September 2026 → 30 October 2026. In brackets, the number of assets with a public price in each zone.

Computed automatically: in the two months before the snapshot, 0 of 1 assets with a public price rose. The median change was -41.0%, against -1.8% for S&P 500.

Since the snapshot: the radar’s performance

The first measurement runs automatically on Friday, 6 November 2026, against the close of 30 October 2026. From then on, the table above and this paragraph update weekly, with all assets, including those that fell.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Prices before fees and taxes. This is not investment advice.

How we apply the 14 conditions here

The same algorithm as for crypto, companies and commodities: each condition gets a score from 0 to 10 and is met from 7. The weights are identical in every domain; only what we measure in practice changes.

#ConditionWhat we measureWeight
C1Actually usedReal revenue, users or demand, not promises.16%
C2Launch from strengthThe best don’t rush: they launch when ready.6%
C3Healthy fundingNo investors who can sell heavily right away.6%
C4Attracts skilled peopleTalent, partners and builders move toward it.8%
C5Real customersNatural activity, not bought or subsidised.6%
C6Credible teamA record of finishing things, no scandals.8%
C7Well-distributed supplyFew shares or tokens waiting to flood the market.8%
C8Organic communityPeople who came for the product, not quick gains.4%
C9Obvious problemExplainable in one sentence.6%
C10Good entry priceRoom to grow versus rivals or versus cost.6%
C11Balanced mediaMedia euphoria has historically marked the top.6%
C12Healthy price and volumeA steady price while usage grows.6%
C13Few on the same betThe less crowded, the better.6%
C14Low risksNo lawsuits, scandals or major geopolitical risk.8%

Groundwork: official data

The data are being collected from official sources. We show no figure until it has a verifiable source.

Detailed analyses

Questions about the reasoning

Do you disagree with a score, or want to know why an asset is where it is? Ask. We answer with the weekly update, with sources, by email and, if you agree, here on the page.

Answered questions

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Sources

How we check the data →